Opinion Russia's Stalled Arms Sales: Ukraine War Scares Off India, a Top Buyer

Russia's Stalled Arms Sales: Ukraine War Scares Off India, a Top Buyer


Forget those stories about invincible Russian tanks and missiles! The Ukraine war has shown the world that Russia's weapons don't always live up to the hype, and that's causing major problems for Moscow. India, the world's biggest arms importer and Russia's top customer, is hitting the brakes on buying Russian gear in a big way.

Note this: India has spent a whopping $60 billion on Russian tanks, jets, you name it – over the last couple of decades. Now, experts are saying that Russia's struggling to keep up with the demand, and questions about their weapons' quality are swirling. The result? It looks like big changes are ahead for India's massive $100 billion weapons shopping spree.

Why India's Saying "Thanks, But No Thanks" to Russia​

So, why the sudden shift? Here's what insiders are saying:
  • Ukraine's Surprising Fight: India, like everyone else, was shocked by how poorly some Russian equipment performed in Ukraine. Suddenly those Russian weapons don't look so invincible anymore.
  • Can't Get What They Need: Russia's arms factories are swamped trying to make weapons for its own troops in Ukraine, leaving India waiting in line. Plus, sanctions make it touchy for India to buy anything Russian.
  • Time to Make, Not Buy: India's had its eye on building up its own defence industry for a while. The Ukraine mess just makes that goal seem more urgent.
  • Keeping America Happy: India's been trying to cozy up to the U.S. lately, and buying loads of Russian weapons isn't exactly a great way to do that.

So, Who's In Line to Land These Big Sales?​

India's got the cash... and other arms makers are ready to pounce. Here's the new pecking order:
  • Vive la France! France is stepping into Russia's old shoes. India already bought fancy Rafale jets from them and could buy much more. France seems super willing to share tech and build stuff together with India.
  • The Americans Are Trying... They're promising cool engine tech for India's jets, but there's still old baggage between the two countries. Can America build enough trust?
  • Don't Count Out Others: Israel, South Korea, even Germany could get some of India's business.

Russia is Not Totally Out​

Here's the thing, India's got a ton of old Russian stuff. They're not going to ditch it all overnight. And, geopolitics is messy – India doesn't want to make enemies by totally dumping Moscow as China gets closer to Russia.

Bottom Line​

Ukraine's fight for survival has totally reshuffled how India buys weapons. That's bad news for Russia, which desperately needs the business, and could be a win for other arms-making nations.
 

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